realtrademaster | Open Puzzle Kit 01 | Answer key
Original hypothetical data. Linear scale. Not a market forecast or customer result.

TASK 1: ONE PRICE, TWO SWINGS
Larger swing: low 100 at observation 0; high 120 at observation 10.
Nested swing: low 110 at observation 6; same high 120.
Observation 16 ends at 113.82. Pullback = 120 - 113.82 = 6.18.
Larger swing: 6.18 / 20 = 30.9%. Nested swing: 6.18 / 10 = 61.8%.
Both calculations are correct for their anchors. Neither establishes a profitable trade.
Upward-swing level = high - fraction * (high - low).
At 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%:
100 to 120 -> 112.36, 110.00, 107.64.
110 to 120 -> 116.18, 115.00, 113.82.
For a downward swing, a bounce level is low + fraction * (high - low).
The 50% line is a midpoint convention, not a Fibonacci ratio.

TASK 2: WHEN COULD YOU KNOW?
This is a single-value path, not a full OHLC candle dataset. A local maximum at
index 10 with two lower observations on each side can only be confirmed after
observation 12 is available. Drawing its label at 10 does not make it knowable at 10.
For an actual OHLC test, specify the high/low or close convention and confirmation
rule separately. This chart alone cannot validate a trading strategy.

DISCUSSION / PREDECLARE THE TEST
Choose timeframe, price convention and anchor-selection rule first. Freeze anchors
for each candidate. State the zone, trigger, expiry and failure rule before scoring.
Record failures and missed candidates. Do not move anchors to fit a later reaction.
Compare a similarly wide non-Fibonacci zone with other rules held constant on data
not used to choose the setup. Define execution, exits and costs separately.
An example research rule is not a recommendation or validated edge.

FACILITATOR RUN (10 MINUTES)
0-2: Show the blank worksheet; ask each person to mark two anchor pairs.
2-4: Calculate both retracements without consulting the answer.
4-6: Reveal the answer and distinguish arithmetic from a trading claim.
6-8: Ask when the high could have been confirmed; discuss hindsight.
8-10: Write one frozen rule and one failure case worth testing.
No signup, vote, follow or community membership is required.

Mechanics and pivot definitions:
https://www.tradingview.com/support/solutions/43000518158-fibonacci-retracement-drawing-tool/
https://www.tradingview.com/support/solutions/43000589195-pivot-points-high-low/
The data, arithmetic, worksheet and teaching exercise are original illustrations
by realtrademaster, prepared with AI assistance; sources do not endorse this kit.
General education. Trading involves risk.